Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.966044e-05 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000064 0.000073
2025-04-13 2.088711e-05 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000056 0.000069 0.000085
2025-04-20 1.578915e-05 0.000023 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000075 0.000096
2025-04-27 1.272200e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000081 0.000108
2025-05-04 1.045708e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000043 0.000063 0.000087 0.000119
2025-05-11 9.375107e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000068 0.000096 0.000135
2025-05-18 7.798659e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000045 0.000069 0.000101 0.000145
2025-05-25 6.118988e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000043 0.000069 0.000103 0.000151
2025-06-01 4.958308e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000042 0.000069 0.000107 0.000159
2025-06-08 4.113586e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000041 0.000070 0.000111 0.000168
2025-06-15 3.435406e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000041 0.000072 0.000115 0.000177
2025-06-22 2.828661e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000041 0.000073 0.000119 0.000186
2025-06-29 2.143147e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000039 0.000073 0.000122 0.000194
2025-07-06 1.472368e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000037 0.000071 0.000122 0.000198
2025-07-13 1.052773e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000035 0.000071 0.000124 0.000205
2025-07-20 8.071414e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000035 0.000072 0.000129 0.000217
2025-07-27 6.182350e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000035 0.000074 0.000134 0.000228
2025-08-03 5.543565e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000078 0.000144 0.000247
2025-08-10 4.119924e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000080 0.000148 0.000258
2025-08-17 2.601186e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000078 0.000149 0.000263
2025-08-24 1.708288e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000078 0.000152 0.000271
2025-08-31 1.150976e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000079 0.000156 0.000281
2025-09-07 7.632138e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000080 0.000160 0.000292